A decline in the incidence of coronavirus in Russia is expected by the summer, but in the autumn-winter period there may be a new rise, said Nikolai Briko, head of the Department of Epidemiology and Evidence-Based Medicine of Sechenov University, Chief Freelance Epidemiologist of the Ministry of Health, Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
He said that he would not call the increase in the incidence "waves", since "we are talking about an increase in the incidence, about the intensification of the epidemic process" in certain periods of the year - spring-summer and autumn-winter periods, RIA Novosti reports.
“Here, the possibility of some activation of the epidemic process in the autumn-winter period, the subsequent period, is not excluded, but now the incidence should fall in the summer,” he said, adding that “natural pro-epidemicization” and vaccination should smooth out possible increases in incidence.
Bricaud also said that the coronavirus "will become one of the etiological agents of seasonal diseases that are activated at certain times of the year."
At the same time, he noted that re-infection with the virus and re-infection are different, but both are possible. Briko explained that a person who has been vaccinated or who has undergone a coronavirus can become infected when meeting with a pathogen and can "transiently" transmit this pathogen. “How long he will wear this pathogen is still to be studied. But I think that it will be a transitory carriage,”said the doctor.
“A recurrent disease is also possible, like any other disease of an infectious nature, and in certain individuals, not everyone responds in the same way to antigens, not everyone develops immunity to the same extent, and we know this today, it is genetically determined, therefore, of course, repeated cases of the disease - but this is infrequent, these are, so to speak, rare cases, "- said the academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
Earlier, the infectious disease doctor Yevgeny Timakov allowed an increase in the incidence of coronavirus in Russia in mid-spring. Earlier, the doctor and presenter Alexander Myasnikov said that the same evolution awaits the coronavirus infection as the Spanish and Hong Kong flu: the virus will mutate, and regular vaccinations will become habitual.